Week 4 Score Projections and Probabilities – 2016

Seeing as people took advantage of getting their own teams Score Projections and Probabilities done last week, I will continue on with providing that service, just tweet me your lineup or the players you are choosing between and I will crunch the numbers, @qalled.

This week I have done the scoring probabilities done for Team 2, this week led by Matthew Stafford. He’s got a huge projection difference between his ceiling and his floor but I feel comfortable in the probabilities that he will outscore the ceiling or at least not score under 8.2, Winston and Palmer….

Looking more at the probabilities we can see that Brandon Marshall is very uncertain to reach his ceiling and with his low floor the risk of him scoring lower than that is very high. If there is more news regarding his health he will be a player to maybe switch before game day. Mike Evans has a difficult matchup but his probabilities are quite safe so he will play. Julius Thomas’ numbers are still inflated (for people unsure about what that means, google Tom Brady+Opposite) by previous production and his probabilities scare me. Gordon, Murray and Cards are looking good while Barth is a point of concern.

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Team 1, 3, 4 and 5’s projection are posted below, unfortunately without probabilities.

Like and Re-tweet, everything is appreciated!imageedit_1_9253545623

The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD

 

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Team 1
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Team 3
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Team 4
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Team 5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

photo credit: Keith Allison DeAngelo Williams via photopin (license)


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