Week 12 Score Projections and Risk Analysis – 2016

Since last week was my first loosing week I figured why not do a transparent overhaul of my teams to have the best players playing in week 12. So I will have a post later this week showing off the changes in each team and showing the difference in the numbers from last week. Some players come off bye weeks, some players are pickups from waivers and some have just surpassed someone else in season numbers.

In this post I will write about the new QB rankings again, the reason for that is that the new QB rankings are not in the same formula as the rest, and end the post with the score projections and risks for every other player in my database. I also have a top 5 players heading into week 12. Let’s dig in!

I got a request to showcase how the defenses play against quarterbacks in the numbers from last week. I have not solved a good way for it to be implemented in a fair and good way but will have it done for next year when I expand on the projections. But I will post the average fantasy points the defense the QB is playing so you can put that in perspective when getting his projected floor. Remember, these are worst case scenarios I post, this is the least amount of points I am looking to get from the QB on a given week.

qb1qb2Also to note about the rankings, I am missing Goff, Bradford and the Cleveland QB (whoever that is, you won’t start anyway, I HOPE).

Kirk Cousins needs so much more respect than he currently gets, he is the second least risky player after Aaron Rodgers, how do we like him now?  Other than that I really like Prescott going forward, he is a slightly better play than Matt Ryan this week, mostly due to that the Falcons are playing Arizona.

Winston who was my based on last year’s numbers #1 ranked QB heading into the season has really disappointed me. (If you read my season rankings I base them on the last three year’s but if we only looked at 2015 Winston would have been the highest ranked guy.) His rookie numbers compared pretty well to Andrew Luck’s but Winston has not improved them as much as Luck did. I thought he would be a guy to start years to come but right now Mariota would have been a better guy to draft in fantasy.

Following this link will take you to the Full Score Projection and Risk Analysis of the Database.
Press ctrl+f to search for a player. You can also tweet me @qalled for individual players risk or score projection. All projections are for floors, worst case scenario.

For fun, my highest ranked non-quarterbacks players right now are, David Johnson, DeMarco Murray, Ezekiel Elliot, Melvin Gordon and Dez Bryant followed by Le’Veon Bell. So no big surprises, well maybe Dez, but, in all but two games he’s played he’s been fantastic.

Like and Re-tweet, everything is appreciated!imageedit_1_9253545623

The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD

photo credit: Keith Allison Aaron Rodgers via photopin (license)

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