Wide Receiver Rankings 100-51

I felt like only ranking my Top 50 Running Backs was enough for that position but for Wide Receivers 100 felt much more relevant. During the previous season I have followed the numbers and provided projections for 85 different receivers. That number will for the 2017 season be dialed up to at least 120! So now before the rookies enter the league the Wide Receivers Rankings both Floor and Ceiling will be done for 100.

Since we now have 100 players some of them will have floors under 0 points. This means that they might actually have fumbles and end up with negative points. They are in some cases also extremely volatile, more on that later below.

As said before all numbers are based on the last three years. In the case a player has not been in the league that long their floor number will be based on all their games. The floor is the least amount of points I expect from a player from any given game. It has a 16 % risk of not being reached. Let’s dig in!

WR 76-100* Team or Health Question
** Questionable Sample Size

After looking at the first group of guys I think the discussion about volatility can be continued. Taking Travis Benjamin at rank 90 as my example. In week 2 of the 2016 season he scored 23.4 points while in week 14 he scored -0.2 points. There was no consistency in his scoring and that is one reason you end up this low on the floor rankings. Being this low can also be because you don’t score enough in general.

This is one of the reasons Adam Thielen lands at spot 98. The other one that impacts Thielen’s ranking is his previous years. He would have been Top 30 if we only counted 2016 and nothing else. As I said with the Running Backs last week, I will try to figure out a way to display this for all players later on in the summer.

WR 51-75* Team or Health Question
** Questionable Sample Size

The same as for Adam Thielen can be said for Davante Adams. His lack of production in previous years impacts how I rank him next year. Adams would have ranked around spot 20 if we only looked at 2016, but I value sample size and consistency more, so not to fall for an over hyped player that has one good year.

Some of these guys will get higher rankings when I look at their floors and especially Donte Moncrief stand out. He is a player that either scores pretty high with a touchdown or nothing if he doesn’t catch one.

If you feel that I have put someone please tweet me @qalled and let me know. I would love to hear your reasoning! Remember these rankings are only made with the numbers, I let you decide what to do with the information. If you value an injury prone amazing player like Sammy Watkins over a more stable Cole Beasley that is your call! I tend to value a guy that can help me win all games over a guy that can win 1 game by himself.

Tomorrow I will publish a YouTube video analyzing which high-profile running back on the market would fit the Raiders the most! Lynch is talking about coming out of retirement, Peterson and Charles are still out there while the Raiders have a whole to fill after Latavius Murray.

Like and Re-tweet, everything is appreciated!imageedit_1_9253545623

The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD

photo credit: bmward_2000 Calvin Johnson via photopin (license)


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