It is finally time for the Top 15 Wide Receivers based on their floor. I have been so excited because of the amount of changes to this list compared to last year. There is, however, some things that don’t change and that is the best 3 players so you don’t have to wonder if that has changed.
All numbers are based on the last three years. In the case a player has not been in the league that long their floor number will be based on all their games. The floor is the least amount of points I expect from a player from any given game. It has a 16 % risk of not being reached. Let’s dig in!
* Team or Health Question
**Small Sample Size
Edelman keeps posting high floor numbers. He is a very stable pick that will give you a solid floor every week while his ceiling is far below most of the guys on this list. He will not make the Top 20 when it comes to the ceiling so with those two combined he will fall in the overall rankings so keep that in mind.
Brown took the number 1 spot from OBJ from last year and that is not all thanks to himself. Brown’s floor last year was 6.5 points while OBJ went from 7.4 to 6.0 this year. Jones also lowered his floor a little bit from 6.5 to 5.4 points. This concerns me, seeing 2 of the top 3 guys drop that much in the floor makes me question them as valid top 5 picks in standard leagues when you see that top Running Backs like Bell and DJ have increased their floors from 2016.
There is no player that gets me super excited in this group. The guys that could provide some value have questions. How will Michael Thomas handle being WR1? Will Sterling Shepard improve or will Brandon Marshall impact his production? Can Carson Wentz improve Alshon Jeffery? Will Tyreek Hill’s ADP increase too much? These are questions that I hope we can find answers to before the draft or at least see an ADP trend that put these guys in places where we don’t mind picking them with the questions still unanswered.
What do you think about these rankings? Do you like a high floor or do you prefer a guy that can give you 1-2 games of high scoring? Let me know below or hit me up on twitter to discuss it further. @qalled
I will look into Alshon Jeffery and his score projection for 2017 on tomorrow’s YouTube Video, so if you are interested in his value next year you should check that out.
Like and Re-tweet, everything is appreciated!
The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD