Score Projection and Risk Analysis W10

Hello Fantasy Faithfulls, the Quarterback week here at CSD Fantasy continues with a highlight of the five Quarterbacks with the highest Probability of outscoring their Projections this week. In case you missed any of the previous content this week I encourage you to go back and check out Tuesday’s ROS Quarterback Rankings and yesterday’s analysis of the Top 5 Fantasy Quarterbacks so far which you can find below. Let’s dig in!

Score Projection Week 10

I thought I would change the highlight up just a little bit this week, so instead of looking at the five highest Projected players I picked the five with the highest Probability to outscore their Projection. It is important to keep this in mind, because there will be Quarterbacks in the full Projection that has a higher Projection than these five.

Jared Goff has the lowest Projection of all five Quarterbacks but it is also extremely likely that he will outscore it with  91% certainty. I am starting him in one league with some deal of confidence, with a lower Projection but with high Probability can be extremely valuable in a volatile team to add some security.

Wilson has been playing really well as of late and is now ranked as the third best fantasy Quarterback. He is an even better option than Goff with much higher Projection with almost as high Probability to outscore it. If he is not too expensive in DFS I would play him.

Stafford plays the Browns at home, semi high Projection with almost 80 % Probability of outscoring it, must start for me this week.

Denver did not look like the No Fly Zone vs. the Eagles so why should they against the Patriots and the GOAT? Playing against one of the greatest defenses and still having a 16.3 Projection with 78 % Probability is too good to be true but hey, his whole career has been too good to be true.

Taylor is getting a new weapon and has been running circles around defenders lately. His Projection is slightly higher than Stafford’s with a little lower Probability, he is perhaps not a must start but as close as you can get. Remember to check out the full Projection and Probabilities below to compare him to the rest of the Quarterback group. You can also hit me up on twitter as usual for more info!

 

For All Week 10 Score Projections and Probabilities Click Here!

Press ctrl+f to search for a player. You can also tweet me @csdfantasy for individual players risk or score projection. Don’t forget that you can sort based on first name, Projection, Probability of outscoring the Projection and Risk of not reaching the Projection.

If you would like Projections and Probability done for your entire team, tweet me @csdfantasy with a picture or list of your team and I will make sure you have it before kickoff on Sunday.

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The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD


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