Hello Fantasy Faithfulls, today I am focusing on the easily forgotten Kicker position. Below I have put together numbers for you so you can make a Kicker change if you need too. Last year when I wrote this post Matt Bryant was still not owned everywhere so I managed to pick him up in several leagues. I hope I can provide you with the same knowledge this year and help you get the best kicker going forward.
Quick info, no Top 5 Wednesday on YouTube this week, I have been out of town this weekend and running a little bit short on time. Let’s dig in!
The Ceiling is the most amount of points I can expect a player to have on a given week.
The Floor is the least amount of points I expect from a player when he has his worst game.
I am not surprised at all the Greg the Leg is topping the Ceiling list. He has had two massive games this year and with that the Ceiling tends to spike. You can however see how low he is on the Floor side of things cause he is sort of unstable in his scoring.
Gostkowski with Lutz and Butker have been the three safest Kickers this year and if I don’t own any of them and they are on the waiver I will be picking them up asap! Wil Lutz was my highest ranked Kicker going into the season despite his small sample size.
Jake Elliott is a Kicker I will be moving away from. He has been a guy I have casually streamed when he has had a solid Projection but with his mid-season stats this low he will be on the chopping block. There are too many good Kickers above him right now to not make a move, even with the Eagles moving like a freight train through the NFC.
Cario Santos just signed with the Chicago Bears so it will be interesting to see how his numbers change from the KC time. He has numbers that put him highly on the Floor rankings but with a new team I would not make a move for him, at least not now.
I made 319 Projections with Probabilities for Week 11.
I measure with 30 % accuracy, meaning if a player scored under his projection but the probability was 30 % or above I failed or if a player had 70 % probability but scored above his projection I also failed.
Out of the 319 Projections and Probabilities I had 271 Correct and 48 Incorrect. That means that 85 % of all the numbers I provided gave you a great opportunity to plan your fantasy line in Week 11.
Last week I had a 83.1 % hit rate on my Projections so we have had above last year’s average of 76 % 7 weeks in a row.
Don’t forget to check out CSD Fantasy’s first partner in STEPUP Apparel. Perfect for your rec-league team, for standing out while you workout or as a fun gift.
Like and Re-tweet, everything is appreciated!
The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD